SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The yen and swiss franc fell to five-week troughs on Tuesday as investors looked for higher-risk currencies, emboldened by a report of German stimulus plans, diminishing chances of a no-deal Brexit and hopes of a trade war breakthrough.
FILE PHOTO: A woman counts Japanese 10,000 yen notes in Tokyo, in this February 28, 2013 picture illustration. REUTERS/Shohei Miyano/Illustration/File Photo Silver XAG= and gold XAU= were also sold in the slide that pushed the yen JPY=EBS as low as 107.49 per dollar, and the franc CHF= to $0.9922, with both also losing ground to the euro.
“Over the past 24 hours there has been a move toward more risk-friendly, pro-growth currencies,” Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.
“But it is kind of a lull period following a whole stream of positive news last week. We’re in a wait-and-see mode with major risk events like Brexit and trade negotiations being kicked down the road.”
The pound GBP=D3 stood just under a six-week high of $1.2385, hit overnight after a British law blocking a no-deal exit from the European Union came into force.
The South Korean won KRW= and New Zealand dollar NZD= drifted higher, the won holding close to a month high at 1,191.0 per dollar and the kiwi close to a three-week peak at $0.6434.
Exuberance was held back, however, by weak Chinese economic data that hit equities markets, with factory-gate prices shrinking at their fastest pace since August.
Ratings house Fitch on Tuesday cut growth forecasts for Europe and China citing rising protectionism.
The yuan CNY=CFXS held mostly flat around 7.1169 per dollar.
Traders also remained cautious ahead of a key European Central Bank meeting on Thursday, at which policymakers are expected to ease monetary policy.
The euro EUR=EBS was flat at $1.1043, underneath an overnight high of $1.1067 hit following a Reuters report that Germany may set up public investment agencies to boost fiscal stimulus without breaching national spending rules.
“This news caused some people to revise down their expectations for Thursday’s ECB meeting, although I think that’s entirely premature,” said Marshall Gittler, chief strategist at ACLS Global, in a note.
“I think the small rally in EUR today just sets up the currency for a bigger fall on Thursday.”
Market hopes for a trade breakthrough, meanwhile, rested on confidence overnight from U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. He told Fox television that there had been “a lot of progress” on a U.S-China trade deal and that the U.S. side was “prepared to negotiate”.
The remarks pushed U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR to a three-week high where they held in Asian trade. The dollar was flat against a basket of currencies .DXY at 98.359.
Sterling barely shifted when Britain’s parliament voted, as expected, to stymie Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s bid for an early election, which prompted him to vow that he would secure a Brexit deal at an EU summit next month.
“While I am loath to go anywhere near the pound, I like what I see in the price action,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne forex brokerage Pepperstone Group.
“If GBP/USD kicks up through $1.2354 again, I would be looking for longs, with a stop through $1.2234.”
(The story corrects day of the week in lede.)
Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Sam Holmes
LINK ORIGINAL: Reuters